2019 Oscar Nomination Predictions (updated w/ reactions)

Sayuri the dog for Oscar host, you absolute cowards.

Taking a break from the Best of the Decade countdown to share my predictions for tomorrow morning's Oscar nominations. Presented without commentary.

Picture

1. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
2. Parasite
3. 1917
4. Joker
5. The Irishman
6. Jojo Rabbit
7. Marriage Story
8. Ford v Ferrari
9. Little Women

if there are 10...

10. The Two Popes

also in the running

Knives Out, The Farewell, Bombshell

-- 9/9. I can't think of a single time this has happened. But am I proud?

Director

1. Tarantino
2. Bong
3. Mendes
4. Phillips
5. Scorsese

also in the running

Waititi, Baumbach, Gerwig, Almodovar, Mangold

-- 5/5. I'm sorry if I somehow willed Todd Phillips into being nominated. I guess it's better than Waititi?

Actress

1. Zellweger
2. Theron
3. Johansson
4. Nyong'o
5. Ronan

also in the running

Erivo, Awkwafina, Woodard, de Armas

-- 4/5. I figured Lupita Nyong'o wasn't a sure thing, but I was starting to believe the hype for Awkwafina. Oh well. At least I didn't get my hopes up for Alfre Woodard.

Actor

1. Phoenix
2. Driver
3. Banderas
4. de Niro
5. Bale

also in the running

Egerton, Murphy, DiCaprio, Sandler, Pryce, Hauser

-- 3/5. Banderas is the Academy's biggest saving grace this year for me, at least in terms of the acting categories.

Supporting Actress

1. Dern
2. Lopez
3. Robbie
4. Pugh
5. Zhao

also in the running

Johansson, Bates, Bening, Kidman

-- 3/5. I knew Zhao Shuzen was a long shot, but no Jennifer Lopez? Bad show.

Supporting Actor

1. Pitt
2. Pacino
3. Pesci
4. Hanks
5. Song

also in the running

Alda, Hopkins, Foxx, Dafoe

-- 4/5. Honestly thought the acting branch would want a chance to reward Parasite somewhere. Much less inspired voting than last year. Remember what a great surprise Marina de Tavira was?

Original Screenplay

1. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
2. Marriage Story
3. Parasite
4. Knives Out
5. The Farewell

also in the running

Pain and Glory, Bombshell, Uncut Gems, Dolemite is My Name, Ford v Ferrari, Waves...and 1917...

-- 4/5. Nominating 1917 for writing is...a choice. When I was hoping for an interesting surprise (as this branch is known to do), I was thinking along the lines of Waves or Uncut Gems, not...1917. Wild.

Adapted Sreenplay

1. The Irishman
2. Jojo Rabbit
3. Little Women
4. Joker
5. The Two Popes

also in the running

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Hustlers, Just Mercy

-- 5/5. No surprises here.

Animated Feature

1. Toy Story 4
2. Missing Link
3. Frozen 2
4. I Lost My Body
5. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

also in the running

Klaus, Abominable, Weathering With You, Ne Zha

-- 4/5. Yay, Klaus!

Documentary

1. American Factory
2. Apollo 11
3. The Cave
4. For Sama
5. Honeyland

also in the running

One Child Nation, Maiden, Biggest Little Farm, Advocate, The Edge of Democracy, Midnight Family, Knock Down the House, The Apollo, The Great Hack

-- 4/5.

International Feature

1. Parasite
2. Beanpole
3. Pain and Glory
4. Corpus Christi
5. Atlantics

also in the running

Les Miserables, Honeyland, Those Who Remained, Truth or Justice, The Painted Bird

-- 3/5. Was really hoping Atlantics would pull through in a Dogtooth sort of way.

Best Cinematography

1. 1917
2. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
3. Ford v Ferrari
4. Joker
5. The Irishman

also in the running

Parasite, The Lighthouse, Little Women, A Hidden Life

-- 4/5. Not a bad lineup at all.

Best Costume Design

1. Little Women
2. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
3. Dolemite is My Name
4. Rocketman
5. Jojo Rabbit

also in the running

Aladdin, Hustlers, Downton Abbey, 1917... and Joker and The Irishman

-- 3/5. Ruth E. Carter was robbed.

Best Film Editing

1. Ford v Ferrari
2. Parasite
3. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
4. Joker
5. The Irishman

also in the running

Marriage Story, 1917, Little Women, Jojo Rabbit

-- 4/5. The nomination for Jojo Rabbit that I understand the least. How do you pass up Little Women?

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1. Bombshell
2. Judy
3. Joker
4. Rocketman
5. 1917

also in the running

Dolemite is My Name, Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood, Maleficent, Downton Abbey, Little Women

-- 4/5.

Best Original Score

1. 1917
2. Joker
3. Little Women
4. Ford v Ferrari
5. Jojo Rabbit

also in the running

Marriage Story, Motherless Brooklyn, Star Wars, Avengers: Endgame, Pain and Glory

-- 3/5.

Best Original Song

1. "Spirit"
2. "I'm Gonna Love Me Again"
3. "Into the Unknown"
4. "Glasgow"
5. "Stand Up"

also in the running

"I Can't Let You", "I'm Standing With You", "Speechless", "High Above the Water", "Daily Battles", "Catchy Song", "Soju One Glass", "Never Too Late", "Letter to My Godfather", "Da Bronx"

-- 3/5. Guess I gotta watch Breakthrough if I want 100% Oscar completism this year. God damn it, Diane Warren.

Best Production Design

1. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
2. 1917
3. Jojo Rabbit
4. The Irishman
5. Parasite

also in the running

Ad Astra, Joker, Little Women, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Rocketman, Knives Out, Downton Abbey

-- 5/5. Yay, Parasite!

Best Sound Editing

1. Ford v Ferrari
2. Avengers: Endgame
3. Joker
4. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood
5. 1917

also in the running

The Irishman, Toy Story 4, Rocketman, Star Wars, Ad Astra

-- 4/5. Only predicting one nomination for Star Wars was a bit dim in hindsight. Also to everyone who kept telling me Avengers was gonna be a Best Picture nominee with multiple nominations: Haha!

Best Sound Mixing

1. Ford v Ferrari
2. Joker
3. Rocketman
4. 1917
5. Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood

also in the running

Avengers, The Irishman, Star Wars, Apollo 11, Ad Astra, Toy Story 4

-- 4/5. Ad Astra is honestly a great choice.

Best Visual Effects

1. The Lion King
2. Avengers: Endgame
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. 1917
5. Alita: Battle Angel

also in the running

Gemini Man, The Irishman, Captain Marvel, Terminator, Cats

-- 4/5. Guess my gamble that this branch would be turned off by the de-aging work in The Irishman didn't pay off. Otherwise, this was easy to guess.